Report by the real
estate experts
Context
We have been engaged by Cofinimmo to value its real estate assets
as of
31 December 2014
with a view to finalising its financial state-
ments at that date.
DTZ Winssinger et Associates (DTZ), PwC Entreprise Advisory cvba/
scrl (PwC) and JLL sprl/bvba have each separately valued a part of
the portfolio of offices and other properties
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.
DTZ Winssinger and PwC have each separately valued part of the
portfolio of nursing homes in Belgium. DTZ Eurexi and JLL France
have each separately valued part of the portfolio of nursing homes
and other care facilities in France.
The portfolio of clinics in The Netherlands has been valued by DTZ
Zadelhof and by PwC Netherlands.
The portfolios of pubs in Belgium and the Netherlands have been
valued by DTZ Winssinger and DTZ Zadelhof, respectively.
The portfolio of insurance agencies in France has been valued by
DTZ Eurexi.
DTZ, PwC and JLL have in-depth knowledge of the real estate
markets in which Cofinimmo is active and have the necessary,
recognised professional qualifications to perform this assessment.
In conducting this assessment, they have acted with complete
independence.
As is customary, our assignment has been carried out on the basis
of information provided by Cofinimmo regarding tenancy schedules,
charges and taxes borne by the landlord, works to be carried out
and all other factors that could affect property values. We assume
that the information provided is complete and accurate.
Our valuation reports do not in any way constitute an assessment
of the structural or technical quality of the buildings or an in-depth
analysis of their energy efficiency or of the potential presence of
harmful substances. This information is well known to Cofinimmo,
which manages its properties in a professional way and performs
technical and legal due diligence before acquiring each property.
The office market
In Belgium, the office investment market recorded around €1.7 bn
invested in 2014 (the total invested volumes in the commercial real
estate reached €3 bn in 2014). This represents an increase of 40%
compared to 2013.
Brussels concentrates the great majority of investments in the
office sector as more than €1.5 bn have been invested in 2014,
50% more than in 2013. The economic recovery, the importance of
available equities, and historically low interest rates contributed
to boost investors’ appetite for real estate and for office assets in
particular. The office sector represents more than 55% of invested
volumes. The growing appetite for office assets led to a yield com-
pression in 2014. Prime office yields for assets with 6/9 year lease
contracts stand currently at 5.75% (compared to 6.35% mid-2013)
and they are below the psychological cap of 5% for long-term let
assets (compared to 5.15% at the beginning of 2014).
Investors continue to focus on secured assets (North Galaxy,
Covent Garden, headquarters of Brussels-Environment in Tour &
Taxis) but also tend to invest in assets with available spaces or in
assets in the middle of their life cycle (Platinum, Montoyer 47, Lloyd
George). Investors also adopt opportunistic behaviors and tend
to take more risks; the acquisition of assets such as the Pegasus
Park constitutes a good example of this strategy. We also observe
a growing interest for bigger lot-size investments, the average size
of deals stands at €35m. The two biggest transactions of the year
2014 are the purchase of the North Galaxy for €475m and the acqui-
sition of the Covent Garden for more than €260m.
Conversely to previous years, foreign investors were the most
active in the office investment market in 2014. They represent close
to 75% of the invested volumes. German investors remain particu-
larly active, both on the purchase and the sell sides. They mainly
focus on highly secured assets. On the other hand, US investors,
who returned to the investment market, adopt a more opportunistic
behavior with « add-value » acquisitions such as the Pegasus Park.
US investors benefit from the exchange rate which reinforces the
Dollar compared to the Euro. Asian investors, mainly Chinese inves-
tors, confirm their interest for Belgium and Brussels in particular.
Investments coming from the US and Asia are important and should
rise in the coming months. Apart from these international investors,
domestic investors are mainly insurance companies or REITs.
Although the investment market witnessed a strong upward
movement in 2014, the situation is more contrasted on the occupier
market. Brussels has observed a slight increase in the take-up
while the regional office markets revealed rather faded perfor-
mances in 2014.
In Brussels, the take-up has increased by 10% in 2014, mainly
thanks to important restructuration movements recorded in the
public sector, at national, regional and European levels. The trend
remains nevertheless on the downside with space reduction per
employee. Combined with important ongoing restructuration pro-
cess in the banking sector, the take-up should tend to decrease in
the coming months.
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Other properties: semi-industrial, retail, leisure and residential.
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